Marshall vs East Carolina 11/23/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Marshall winning 48% of simulations, and East Carolina 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Marshall commits fewer turnovers in 45% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. East Carolina wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rakeem Cato is averaging 268 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Shane Carden is averaging 347 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ECAR -4.5
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